Copyright © 2013 Gecko Software, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Here at Gecko Software, we created the “Seasonals Plug-in” back in 1998, which was the very
first Plug-in upgrade to our now famous Track ‘n Trade trading software platform. The three
pillars of trading success are:
1.
The “Technical Nature of Markets,” which drives the short term
trends, and provides us with triggers and entry signals.
(Best Technical Tools = “Bulls ‘n Bears Advantage Plug-in”)
2.
The “Fundamental Nature of Markets, (News)” which drives the long-
term trends, and provides us with insight as to why a market moves the
way it does. (Best Fundamental Tool = “NewsMiner”)
3.
The “Seasonal Nature of Markets,” which shows us the combined
historical repeating trends of the market, and shows us when a market
has a tendency to make extreme, or significantly profitable trends year
after year. (Best Seasonal Tools = “TNT Seasonals” & “TradeMiner”)
It’s through the use of the Seasonal Trend, and Market Cycles that we are able to know when the
best time is to trade any given market.
The seasonal nature of markets is derived from events
that continually reoccur month after month, or year after
year, on a repeated basis.
•
Futures contracts are easy examples: Corn, Wheat,
Soybeans, Orange Juice, Coffee, Sugar, etc...
These crops are all planted at the same time
each year, harvested at the same time each
year, susceptible to damage, brought to
market, assessed storage and transportation
costs, all at the same time each year.
•
Prices generally move in the same direction throughout
these seasonal “Cycles & Trends,” therefore taking
advantage of these seasonal occurrences is one of the
most powerful tools of the trading industry.
•
If you’re not using the seasonal nature of markets in
your trading, you’re leaving out half of the profit
formula.
How To Profit From Trading The Seasonal Nature of Markets.
10 Year Average Trend
Often times, as in this example, the market follows the Average Seasonal Trend, (Blue Trend) like a train on rails.
Seasonal Trends:
The Cornerstone Of Trading
Track ‘n Trade’s Seasonal Plug-in Includes:
•
Historical / Seasonal Price Averages
•
Historical / Seasonal Trend Averages
1-2-3 Knock-Out-Punch!
How do I trade, using the Seasonal Nature of Markets & Track ‘n Trade Seasonals?
Trading with the Seasonal Trend is accomplished through following the predictive nature of the
Seasonal Plug-in.
The Seasonal Plug-in actually projects out into the future, beyond the
current price chart, which direction the market is most likely to trend;
Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral.
My favorite technique is to use the lower “Indicator,” seen in most of the
chart examples on this page, as the blue trend. This trend is created from
historical price averages, and tells us which direction the market has
consistently trended in past history.
Using the historical trend averages, as exampled in the above chart, gives us a road map, or
trend direction. This indicator is NOT a price indicator, and has nothing to do with the actual
price of the market, or the historical price, this particular indicator is strictly dedicated to
providing us, the trader, with an overall trend direction.
DON’T BUY GOLD!
There is a “Right Time,” and a “Wrong Time” To Buy / Sell Any Market. Knowing
when that is, is the key to your trading success or failure.
For example, Gold is a great market to trade, but if you hold gold all year long, you will most
likely have to suffer through many whip-saw draw-down market trends, but holding gold between
the months of September to December, historically speaking, when all the Christmas Jewelry
manufactures are buying gold, is one of the strongest trending times for Gold, and you’ll most
likely experience a much stronger profitable bullish trend during that time frame.
Historically (Seasonally) Speaking,
Gold begins its seasonal “Bullish” rally
in September, which lasts all the way
into December.
Christmas Gold Bump!
(Jewelry Manufacturers)
The best time to “buy & hold” gold is between Sep., and Dec., which historically is when the biggest moves have happened in gold...wait for it, wait for it!
Three Year Price Average
Last Years Price
This Years Price
15 Year TREND
10 Year TREND
Know Where Prices Have Been!
Ask Yourself, What’s Normal?
Do you know if your market is normal this year?
Knowing what’s a “normal” price average and “normal” trend is key to
your trading success. Without knowing what a normal price average is,
or a normal trending year is, you’ll never know when the markets are
performing “normally,” or if they’re in “Counter Seasonal” or non-normal
price range.
•
Track ‘n Trade Seasonal Plug-in helps the trader identify what
time of year markets generally trend.
•
It helps traders identify what is a “normal” trend.
•
The Seasonals Plug-in identifies where prices were last year,
compared to this year.
•
It shows us the average price trend of any given market,
directly over the current market’s price chart.
Counter Seasonal Trend
Counter Seasonal Trend
• Identify when markets not
only move with the
historical trend, but when
they’re going absolutely in
the “wrong” or opposite
direction.
• One of the most powerful
indicators we have, is a
failed indicator.
Know Your Market!
What To Do When A Market Is NOT Following The Seasonal Trend?
Generally speaking, in my experience, when a market is not following the Seasonal, or historical
market price averages, or performing as it would during a “normal” year, we generally see it go in
a strong apposing trend, almost in direct proportion trend and price wise of what would be a
normal year.
This is reflected within the chart as a trend that goes in the direct opposite direction of what is
anticipated or projected by the Seasonals tools. This trend reversal is known as a “Counter
Seasonal Trend,” and once identified can be one of your most powerful trend signals.
Trading Counter Seasonal Trends:
1.
First identify when a market is supposed to be starting a new seasonal
extreme trend
2.
Identify a technical indicator (Bulls ‘n Bears) Buy / Sell signal, that
corresponds with the seasonal trend.
3.
If your technical indicator is “opposite” to the upcoming trend, look for
fundamental confirmation that the trend will be different this year.
4.
If the fundamentals confirm that this year is not going to be a
“normal” year, execute a counter seasonal trade, based off the
technical trigger.
TradeMiner, a stand-alone research tool that scans for, and identifies seasonal trends. [Click Here for details.]
Scan The Entire Market, Stocks, Futures Or Forex!
Scan by Month, Or By Symbol...
Our Powerful NEW Ranking System was developed to help users quickly identify the best trading
opportunities out of a list of highly probable trades.
We’ve developed a ranking system, which works on a scale from zero to five, and
given each rank a quick reference color coded key; red for avoid, yellow to approach
with caution, and green for go for it!
The math formula used to calculate these opportunities is a proprietary system based upon past
market performance, future market expectations, and a number of other factors that help us
make wise decisions.
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markets REGARDLESS of whether it goes up or down!
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